Rockhopper (RKH) holds a material stake in the major discoveries in the Falklands. The Sea Lion complex holds 517mmboe of 2C contingent resource (900mmboe 3C), while the Isobel Elaine complex could be a similar magnitude (according to management estimates). This resource base (over which RKH holds a >50% working interest) is significant on a global scale and commercially attractive given the cost reductions achieved through the FEED process so far – the project is NPV10 break-even at $45/bbl. Although the timing of project sanction is uncertain (particularly given the financial constraints of its partner PMO), the fiscal regime and resource base makes this a compelling long-term project. Our revised core NAV is 74p/share.

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