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In October 2017, RedHill announced that one of its core assets, BEKINDA, significantly alleviated symptoms of patients with diarrhoea-predominant irritable bowel syndrome (IBS-D) in a Phase II trial. Although not comparable directly, the data look good in relation to two other recent drugs, Viberzi and Xifaxan, which had combined sales of $382m in 2016 after the launch in 2015 for this indication. We have increased our success probability for BEKINDA in IBS-D and now value RedHill at $449m or $21.1/ADS.

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