Rotork — Preparing for acceleration

Rotork — Preparing for acceleration

Rotork is ensuring the pillars are in place to deliver growth. The H118 report demonstrated end-market support, with order book growth across all divisions and solid operating performance. Management now has both the framework and the personnel in place to drive the initiatives on route to market, new product development and lean manufacturing.

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Written by

Rotork

Preparing for acceleration

Industrial engineering

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8 August 2018

Price

333.2p

Market cap

£2.9bn

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Share details

Code

ROR

Listing

LSE

Shares in issue

870.5m

Business description

Rotork is a world-leading manufacturer of valve actuators and flow control systems. The group addresses the oil & gas, marine, mining, power generation and water treatment markets globally.

Bull

Order book strength adds visibility.

Focus on product innovation and operations.

Opportunity to build aftermarket.

Bear

End-markets improving but mainly smaller projects.

Limited short-term opportunity for bolt-on growth.

Investment in growth may overstep expectations.

Analysts

Annabel Hewson

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Andy Chambers

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Rotork is a client of Edison Investment Research Limited

Rotork is ensuring the pillars are in place to deliver growth. The H118 report demonstrated end-market support, with order book growth across all divisions and solid operating performance. Management now has both the framework and the personnel in place to drive the initiatives on route to market, new product development and lean manufacturing.

H118 report: Growth across all divisions

Rotork noted a positive market outlook and 13.3% y-o-y order growth on an organic constant currency basis. H118 reported revenue of £331.0m (H117 £299.7m) was up 14.8% on an organic constant currency with all divisions delivering growth and bringing book to bill to 1.1x. H118 adjusted operating profit also benefited from growth in all four divisions, at £65.4m (H117 £54.4m) up 25.1%. H117 adjusted EPS of 5.6p (H117 4.4p) was up 32.3% and the interim dividend of 2.20p (H117 2.05p) was up 7.3%. Full-year guidance has been maintained, with high single-digit revenue growth on a reported basis with c 300bp of headwind from currency. Adjusted operating margins are expected to be slightly ahead of FY17 (20.3%).

Sand, pebbles, boulders: Strategic initiatives

CEO Kevin Hostetler provided a strategy update and outlined key initiatives to be taken. These are classified by complexity and time to implement, from quicker and easier ‘sand’ initiatives to larger and more complex ‘boulders’. The group needs to build on its brand strength and technology recognition and be able to deliver improvements in turnaround times, on-time delivery and client communications. Altering the current sales force structure from the divisional structure aligned to products to one aligned with end markets will improve the ability of the sales teams and offer a broader range of products to the customers they visit. Meanwhile, the company continues to focus on the aftermarket opportunity, taking a more proactive rather than reactive role through the use of usage data. For new product development, the company is aiming to work smarter with the current budgeted spend within a framework that analyses ongoing and new opportunities.

Valuation: A valuable proposition

Rotork’s goal is to deliver the investment in the business through the savings generated over a two-year period. The balance sheet is strong, with net debt/EBITDA under 0.1x at the H118 report, and future M&A remains a possibility. However, the company should leverage end-market growth trends, while the shorter-term growth initiatives start to bear fruit.

Consensus estimates

Year
end

Revenue
(£m)

PBT
(£m)

EPS
(p)

DPS
(p)

P/E
(x)

Yield
(%)

12/16

590.1

117.9

10.0

5.10

35.3

1.5

12/17

642.2

124.8

10.6

5.40

31.4

1.6

12/18e

685.9

141.4

12.2

5.92

27.3

1.8

12/19e

730.0

158.8

13.7

6.37

24.3

1.9

Source: Bloomberg

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Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

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Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

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United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

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10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 12, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

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Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

295 Madison Avenue, 18th Floor

10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 12, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Disclaimer

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world-renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisers and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting. Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (Edison NZ) is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison. Edison NZ is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. Edison Investment Research Inc (Edison US) is the US subsidiary of Edison and is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison Aus) [46085869] is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison Germany is a branch entity of Edison Investment Research Limited [4794244]. www.edisongroup.com

DISCLAIMER
Copyright 2018 Edison Investment Research Limited. All rights reserved. This report has been prepared and issued by Edison for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. The securities described in the Investment Research may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This research is issued in Australia by Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Myonlineadvisers Pty Ltd (AFSL: 427484)) and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia . The Investment Research is distributed in the United States by Edison US to major US institutional investors only. Edison US is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison US relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personalised advice. We publish information about companies in which we believe our readers may be interested and this information reflects our sincere opinions. The information that we provide or that is derived from our website is not intended to be, and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, our website and the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison's solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are "wholesale clients" for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. This document is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document.
A marketing communication under FCA rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report. Edison or its affiliates may perform services or solicit business from any of the companies mentioned in this report. The value of securities mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise and are subject to large and sudden swings. In addition it may be difficult or not possible to buy, sell or obtain accurate information about the value of securities mentioned in this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a "personalised service" and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a "class service" provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (ie without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Edison, its affiliates and contractors, and their respective directors, officers and employees will not be liable for any loss or damage arising as a result of reliance being placed on any of the information contained in this report and do not guarantee the returns on investments in the products discussed in this publication. FTSE International Limited ("FTSE") (c) FTSE [2014]. "FTSE(r)" is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under license. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE's express written consent.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

295 Madison Avenue, 18th Floor

10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 12, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

295 Madison Avenue, 18th Floor

10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 12, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

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