Zalaris (OSE: ZAL)

Last close As at 27/04/2024

NOK69.00

−0.40 (−0.58%)

Market capitalisation

NOK1,528m

Zalaris is a leading provider of comprehensive human capital management and payroll solutions. The company operates across 17 countries and supports the payroll and HR needs of more than 1.5 million employees every month.

Equity proposition

There are five key reasons why Zalaris represents an exciting investment case.

  1. It operates in the fast-growing human capital management and payroll market, forecast for 8–10% annual growth as businesses increasingly look to streamline back-office functions.
  2. Zalaris is highly competitive in large, complex multi-country projects – an attractive sub-segment of the wider market. Its single platform approach across countries gives it a distinct advantage over less scalable peers when bidding for substantial contracts.
  3. With the potential to serve 150 countries, Zalaris has fostered deep geographic reach and strong client relationships across a diverse range of industries. Its solutions are utilised by organisations of all types and sizes, from large multinational corporations to municipal governments. This broad industry coverage provides resilience and significant cross-sell potential.
  4. With around 80% recurring revenue, a low churn rate of c 3% and an average contract duration of five years, Zalaris has predictable cash flows and clear earnings visibility due to its long-lasting customer relationships.
  5. There is substantial room for margin expansion and earnings growth, with management targeting 10% annual growth and a 500bp improvement in EBIT margins by 2026 through operating leverage and efficiency gains.

Zalaris is a market leader exposed to structurally growing demand for payroll and HR solutions globally. With resilience, strong client retention and visible earnings growth, it shapes up as an exciting investment case.

Latest Insights

TMT | Flash note

Zalaris — Commencement of strategic review

TMT | Initiation

Zalaris — Simplifying HR and payroll solutions

TMT | edison tv

Zalaris – executive interview

Sector

TMT

Equity Analyst

Milo Bussell

Associate Analyst, Consumer and Media

Key Management

  • Gunnar Manum

    CFO

  • Hans-Petter Mellerud

    CEO

Balance Sheet

Forecast net debt (NOKm)

286.9

Forecast gearing ratio (%)

102

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual 4.9 38.6 75.1
Relative 1.6 28.9 60.1
52 week high/low NOK73.4/NOK37.0

Financials

Zalaris announced a strategic review process on 2 April, as the company explores potential opportunities to accelerate growth and maximise value for both customers and shareholders. The potential of a sale and delisting reflects the sentiment from many other listed technology businesses that have recently gone private, finding public markets a restraint to investment in growth. There is no certainty that an initiative, event or transaction will take place. Zalaris’s Q124 results are scheduled for 7 May.

Y/E Dec Revenue (NOKm) EBITDA (NOKm) PBT (NOKm) EPS (fd) (öre) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2022A 892.7 106.2 6.1 6.69 1031.4 N/A
2023A 1131.2 162.6 21.5 149.12 46.3 N/A
2024E 1252.1 219.1 103.2 381.25 18.1 11.7
2025E 1384.3 249.2 130.3 492.59 14.0 10.8

Research

Flash note

TMT

Zalaris — Commencement of strategic review

Initiation

TMT

Zalaris — Simplifying HR and payroll solutions

edison tv

TMT

Zalaris – executive interview

Thematics

thematic

TMT

MediaWatch – Rinse and repeat

thematic

TMT

MediaWatch – Still waiting…

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